21世纪会是中国的世纪吗？

罗胖在第一季中国为什么有前途中提过一个观点：从地理大发现以来的500多年中，中央国家的变化情况是从人口数为百万级的西班牙葡萄牙转为千万级的英国再转为人口数为亿级的美国和苏联，并由此推论下一个中央国家将会是中国。罗胖的理由是：当一个中央国家的创新被其他的国家学会时那么技术竞争将会变成规模性竞争，谁人多，谁胜利。再说说我的观点：可是别忘了21世纪出现的一系列机器人产品。下一次的规模性竞争会不会将机器人也纳入其中？

Sorry, I dont have Chinese input on this computer.I think the possibility is low, below are reasons

1. Health deterioration: our health (including mental health and physical health) deteriorates due to pollution of food, water, air, and other essential aspects of our survival. The most vulnerable population to pollution is the new generation. Mental health is a hugely underestimated problem from which many Chinese people are suffering. The trend of alienation and breakdown of family (e.g., high divorce rate) due to increasing meritocratic, linear, and mechanic societal values will severely undermine the mental health of younger generation.

2. Economic downturn in inequality: Chinese economy is not as healthy as thought by us. The official Gini index is climbing to reach .50; the unofficial Gini is climbing to .70. No matter how powerful China may look like, its astounding inequality is increasingly depriving ordinary people of hope and motivation to make the country better. In addition, Chinese economy focuses too much on resource-dense industries, which may not be changed quickly due to lack of real marketization (and real creativity and innovation enabled by real marketization).3. The lack of core values of our society: A society is built not only upon ethnic ties but also on general value orientations that help create consensus on the people within. Chinese society is deprived of core value due to superficial westernization, degradation of traditional Chinese cultural values, and materialism. Traditional Chinese culture values sustainability, family-orientedness, diligence, and morality. Such values have been downgraded during cultural revolution. After marketization, materialism has risen quickly to displace our traditional values, creating moral decay and alienation between people.4. The world itself is going downward.

在没有明显的技术优势的条件下，由于政治经济军事外交的影响，中国未来发展的前景变数颇大。特别是现在地域对经济的阻碍减小以后短期内通过资本积累无法达到世界霸权的地位。而通过战争的手段达成目的对于中国而言为时尚早，从技术而言目前很难对竞争对手形成代差。所以目前来说处于一个瓶颈期。

21世纪是属于全世界富人、权贵统治阶层的世纪，不分国家。也可以说是属于人类的世纪，金字塔下层的在他们眼里不算人。

是的只需要一个改变

罗胖的观点：「从地理大发现以来的500多年中，中央国家的变化情况是从人口数为百万级的西班牙葡萄牙转为千万级的英国再转为人口数为亿级的美国和苏联」

我要报警了，这逻辑简直了。。。

那是罗胖做得最糟糕的一期节目。与机器赛跑那期才是答案。